NFL Betting Thread 2015/2016

Paully D · 22-06-2015 5:29pm #1

Title Odds (Division and Super Bowl)

Win Totals (Over/Unders)

AFC
Patriots 10, Dolphins 8.5, Bills 8.5, Jets 7.5
Colts 10.5, Texans 8.5, Titans 5.5, Jaguars 5.5
Ravens 9, Bengals 8.5, Steelers 8.5, Browns 6.5
Broncos 10.5, Chiefs 8.5, Chargers 8, Raiders 5.5

NFC
Eagles 9.5, Cowboys 9.5, Giants 8.5, Redskins 6.5
Panthers 8.5, Falcons 8.5, Saints 8.5, Buccaneers 6
Packers 11, Lions 8, Vikings 7.5, Bears 7
Seahawks 11, Cardinals 8.5, Rams 8, 49ers 7

Prop Bets

Offensive Rookie of the Year:

Defensive Rookie of the Year:

Can't find a market anywhere yet. I'll edit in due course.

Week 1 Odds/Lines

Money Line:

Point Spread:

D9Male · 22-06-2015 6:22pm

I think the AFC is not very deep, and I don't fancy the Patriots to follow up. They are worthy favourites, but they may struggle relatively speaking. The Ravens and Colts appeal at those prices.

I was planning to back Tampa Bay for the NFC South, but 9/1 is too skinny. Only other price that interest me is Vikings for NFC North.

Morrison J · 22-06-2015 6:43pm

Vikings over 7.5 wins looks a brilliant bet to me. Can't see them doing worse than 8-8.

Paully D · 22-06-2015 6:53pm

I know I'm a fan (however would consider myself not to be biased) but the Ravens at 10's for the AFC and 25's for the Super Bowl do look like value shots to me. Many pundits/analysts have them ranked #1 on their power rankings at the moment. They have a tough schedule but worse case scenario you should be able to lay it off for some profit during the season presuming they do as well as they usually do. I'll back both.

I'm also having a punt on Amari Cooper for Offensive Rookie of the Year at 15/2.

That's it for now but I'll have a good look over the next week or two and post any others.

D9Male · 22-06-2015 7:30pm

Yeah, Ravens' schedule has actually put me off betting. First four games are particularly hard on paper.

helimachoptor · 22-06-2015 11:08pm

I think theres (and hope) a good chance of Mariota or DGB being in contention for the rookie of the year

will likely but€5 on the Titans winning the division.. a fool and his money..:D

Titans to get over 5.5 for sure:eek:

What i'll likely do this year after taking last year off is take 200

Do over/under points on 2 games 100 each. Normally fairly reliable. Take my 200 back out and then go on from there.

MrKingsley · 23-06-2015 8:58am

I think the Rams at 9s is a massive price for their division.

Also the raiders for over 5.5 and titans at 5.5 in a double

Actually the Steelers at 12s for the AFC looks tasty aswel

D9Male · 23-06-2015 9:45am

I like your Rams shout. I agree the AFC is there for the taking unless the Pats maintain their excellence. I just think Baltimore trump Pittsburgh.

Can't wait. What is it, ten weeks?

Knex* · 23-06-2015 11:57am

I'd be betting under for Eagles at 9.5, tbh.

Might nearly do it for Giants at 8.5 too.

matthew8 · 23-06-2015 1:24pm

Don't back long term but Chiefs are massive value at 5/1 for the division, over 8.5 wins and as an outright AFC/ Super Bowl bet. Lots of injuries last year, tough schedule having to play both the NFC West and AFC East but still managed 9 wins, beating both Super Bowl teams fair and square. Peyton Manning has been their achilles heel recently but he may not be as effective this year.

Hulk Hands · 30-06-2015 12:44am

The Vikings @49ers game is going to go off around pickem come gameday. Bit early to be tying your money up on week 1, but for those inclined there's plenty of value in the 19/20 +3

One I have backed is the Chargers to win their division at 7/2, on the back of injury news for the Broncos. Was too big to begin with

Paully D · 30-06-2015 12:49am

Hulk Hands wrote: »

The Vikings @49ers game is going to go off around pickem come gameday. Bit early to be tying your money up on week 1, but for those inclined there's plenty of value in the 19/20 +3

Aye, I was listening to a podcast with Steve Fezzik a few weeks ago and he was asked to pick his best bets for this season as a whole and also week 1. He chose that one and said similar with regards to the game kicking off as a pick-em.

Hulk Hands · 30-06-2015 1:11am

He the lad that was doing that Ross Tucker podcast last year? Thought it was decent but stopped listening cos Ross Tucker was melting my brain. That game stuck out like a sore thumb as the Vikings over under win total is at 7.5, going near 8. The 49ers is 7 and could go 6.5. Simple logic says they shouldn't be rated the same, which this line is indicating

Paully D · 01-07-2015 1:37pm

The Colts at 4/11 to win the AFC South is one of the closest things you can get to printing money. A cracking price for large stakes bettors who don't mind waiting months to collect.

eagle eye · 01-07-2015 2:36pm

Paully D wrote: »

The Colts at 4/11 to win the AFC South is one of the closest things you can get to printing money. A cracking price for large stakes bettors who don't mind waiting months to collect.

I think it will be a lot tighter than people thiink between them and the Texans.

It really comes down to the game between them and the Texans imo. I really wouldn't like backing them at that price, I don't see it as a close to certain.

Bill O'Brien is a serous coach and he has had a season with the Texans. He has two QBs that he was worked with before and then Tom Savage who we don't know enough about yet. All it would take for the Texans to have a great season is a pretty average QB.

Knex* · 01-07-2015 3:58pm

I'm starting to think that taking Bills at under 8.5 might not be a terrible shout. Someone has to come out the worst from that division, and I feel like the other three teams have all improved far more (well, Pats haven't, but they're the Pats).

I don't see Bills defence being better than the Jets, and if Geno is in anyway solid, you can argue their offense is better than the Bills too.

I'm really looking forward to seeing Dolphins and Tannehil, who I'm expecting a big year from, so yeah. Bills under 8.5 for me.

matthew8 · 01-07-2015 4:02pm

Not much point putting so much money out of commission for so long for such a small return. In any case I don't think it's a certainty, what if Luck does an ACL? They've only gone 5-5 outside of the division the last 2 years anyway, and given how weak the AFC South opposition is it's very possible they've just been flattered by their weak division. Texans could put it up to them, and even the Titans and Jaguars, it's the NFL and the margin between the worst team in the league and the best is so small so they're not completely without a chance.

Arrow in the Knee · 01-07-2015 10:10pm

Any given Sunday.

There's more value going for an outsider given how unpredictable the NFL can be.

Except if your the Jags.

Guffy · 02-07-2015 12:08am

Arrow in the Knee wrote: »

Any given Sunday.

There's more value going for an outsider given how unpredictable the NFL can be.

Except if your the Jags.

Jags aren't that bad of a team

Mysterypunter · 02-07-2015 12:21am

gufc21 wrote: »

Jags aren't that bad of a team

Thats true, still wouldnt have a bean on them. Liable to lose by twenty to anyone. Good defensive side when I watch them. But spend 40mins a week on D.

Paully D · 28-07-2015 8:47pm

Brady's suspension upheld. The Steelers are 13/8 to win on opening night.

Guffy · 29-07-2015 1:41am

Paully D wrote: »

Brady's suspension upheld. The Steelers are 13/8 to win on opening night.

Bell out for 2 games though, will DeAngelo bring the same numbers in the box?

Arrow in the Knee · 31-07-2015 7:45pm

What markets do you like betting on in NFL games?
BTW I don't bet too much on the Points Spread in games.

Hulk Hands · 27-08-2015 9:19pm

Some great value around on season win totals with bookies not reacting over here. Two currently would be the Cowboys Under 9.5 at odds against and the Titans over 5.5 @1.95. Plenty more though

Have had one outright bet, Eagles at 12s for the NFC, 1/2 odds ew. Their division price is dropping because of the problems others in the div have had. Wont go into it too much though, its 13/2 with Pinnacle and less in Vegas. It shouldnt be anywhere near 12/14s here

Paully D · 27-08-2015 11:48pm

Hulk Hands wrote: »

The Vikings @49ers game is going to go off around pickem come gameday. Bit early to be tying your money up on week 1, but for those inclined there's plenty of value in the 19/20 +3

Great call here. Vikings -1 at the moment.

Hulk Hands · 28-08-2015 1:05am

Paully D wrote: »

Great call here. Vikings -1 at the moment.

Cheers. Had a few stabs at it, so probably have too much on it by now

, have vikings over wins, SF under wins, Vikings for NFC, SF to finish last. Safe to say the game will dictate my mood for a couple of days after!

eagle eye · 28-08-2015 9:04am

I don't get the love for the Eagles as Conference Champs. The NFC East is the most unpredictable division in football, all four teams have won once apiece the past four seasons. Even if a team wins this division they are very likely to be on the road in the divisional and conference rounds.

Even if you come out of that division you are not certain of anything. If I was going to have a bet on it I wouldn't look past the Seahawks and Packers.

Guffy · 29-08-2015 12:05am

Any fancies on tomights games? Gota stay up.a few hours so need a bita interest

29-08-2015 8:50pm

Anything looking tasty tonight guys?

Guffy · 29-08-2015 9:03pm

Vikes +1.5 bears +3.5 double

Hulk Hands · 30-08-2015 2:56pm

Hulk Hands wrote: »

Have had one outright bet, Eagles at 12s for the NFC, 1/2 odds ew. Their division price is dropping because of the problems others in the div have had. Wont go into it too much though, its 13/2 with Pinnacle and less in Vegas. It shouldnt be anywhere near 12/14s here

Eagles offense looked fantastic last night, albeit the Packers were resting some starters. This has shortened up again on Pinnacle and in the US. I'm not that mad on the eagles myself, but if the sharpest minds in the business (and their extensive data models) calculate a price, and you can back it at double that price, you'll make a profit in the long run.

NFL Betting Thread 2015/2016

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