Pyro's €1k to €10k challenge

The overs bet came in. Chugging along nicely. It's a slow process but will hopefully be worth it.

Bank - €1,522.50c (+€522.50c)

Bets - 66
Wins - 15
SR - 22.7%
Staked - €1353.92c
Returned - €1876.42c
ROI - 38.5%

I definitely wouldn't be doing that! :pac: I'm going through an awful spell at the moment but just not in this thread thank God. The football bets have been the saviour of late. Pity my horses are turning into donkeys. Cheers for the comment though.

Looking forward to it would be an understatement. I'm absolutely chomping at the bit! Can't come soon enough. I'm not a NH man at all and I can't wait to get backing animals just running on turf, minus any jumping. I find form stacks up a lot more on the flat, which is why I do well on it. I miss too many things with animals over obstacles, as there seems to be far more reasons why they'll be beaten by such a long way, then run a lot better next time out. I might get alright at it in time but I doubt it. Tis no fun for me.

+€67.50 after Bolton win 2-0.

Davies had no chances but Everton being awful meant my main one came in.

God damn Spurs and their goalkeeper! Could of been a few goals but alas, it was only 1-0.

Keep the jinxing going lads, I'm loving it. :pac:

Back in action now.

Norwich vs Nottingham Forest - €50 @ 2.00 (Betfair)

Hardly a monster price but Norwich return home having picked up only 1 point from 2 away games recently. Before that, they were unbeaten in 9 and playing some very good stuff, including a 6-0 win against Scunthorpe at home. They're clearly a force to be reckoned with at home, having won their last 2 here and haven't lost in 9. They drew 1-1 with Forest away from home and Forest are poor of late, especially away from home where they've lost their last 3 and haven't won in 7. They need to win here, as do Norwich, but I think the latter are due a win and tastily priced against a team who just don't perform as well away from home.

Grant Holt has a late fitness test and if he plays, Norwich will be fielding a very strong side, with Wes Hoolahan also returning having missed the last 2 outings with injury. Both are huge players to this team and if they both play, even money might look a bit big at the end of the game. It's by no means a "sure thing", or even close, but Forest are out of form and a win for Norwich will take them back into the automatic promotion places, at least until Cardiff play again. It should be a good game and I fancy Norwich to land the spoils, possibly 2-1, which I'll also throw a tenner on for the craic.

Norwich to win 2-1 - €10 @ 9.8 (Betfair)

Birmingham to win 3-0 vs Sunderland - €18 @ 29.00 (Betfair)

Call me crazy, but although Birmingham haven't scored 3 goals in a game all season, I think that they could well grab a few here and keep a poor Sunderland team quiet too. Sunderland have shocking injury problems, not least at the heart of defence with Mensah, Ferdinand and the improved version of Titus Bramble out injured. Birmingham found their goalscoring touch against Bolton in their last home game when they were 2-0 up just before thee hour mark, but they went on to win just 2-1. However, Kevin Phillips got a goal there and started the last couple of games, so he should be high in confidence and can take advantage of a completely out-of-form Sunderland team, who have lost 7 of their last 8, drawing 1. They're shocking now and I think they could be put to the sword here. Birmingham also have Lurch Zigic back and he could provide a fair bit of ammo for the poacher Philips to run on to. 3-0 is an optimistic scoreline but I think the price is tasty and it's worth a shout. Cue a first minute Sunderland goal!

Over 2.5 Goals - West Brom vs Chelsea - €100 @ 1.89 (Betfair)

I thought this might be priced at around 1/2! It's quite a bizarre price to say the least. Chelsea aren't exactly banging in goals but Drogba seems to be coming back to himself and West Brom's defence are the perfect recipe for disaster. I'll go mental if Torres starts in place of The Drog, but after Tuesdays exploits, or therefore lack off (that doesn't sound right!?), I can't see it happening. West Brom's last 4 matches have went over 2.5 goals, and nearly 70% of their home games this season have done so too. Chelsea on the other hand haven't been involved in a game that has went over 2.5 goals in 3 games, but I like omens like that and I think they'll turn that around here and score a couple with West Brom possibly getting one or two too. Chelsea are involved more over 2.5 goal games when away from home, probably because they don't seem to defend as well away from Stamford Bridge. They also hammered WBA back on day one of the season, with Drogba netting a hat-trick. He has 7 goals in 6 games against The Baggies and they don't seem capable of handling him at all. I just hope he''s starting because Torres is simply awful of late. Over 2.5 goals looks a cracking bet at these odds and I'll have a nice go at it. I fancy it could be anything from Chelsea 3-0 to Chelsea 3-2. I should probably just back Chelsea at similar enough odds (1.78) but if West Brom score at home as they usually do, Chelsea will need 2 to win and it'll bring in this bet anyways. I'm very interested to see if Mikael plays or not, because I think he makes Chelsea's midfield tick and if he starts, they should prove a lot more effective in the goals department. He does things simply, but that's exactly what you need from one of a midfield trio IMO. It'll be much better than having Essien in the holding role anyway.

That's my lot for tomorrow. Nothing else standing out and I usually lose the over/under bets so I'm going to air on the side of caution!

Edit - Upped stake on the correct score to level the balance.

x PyRo wrote: »

Over 2.5 Goals - West Brom vs Chelsea - €100 @ 1.89 (Betfair)

Comes in after 26 minutes. Sweet!

fkiely wrote: »

Super stuff last night mate, good luck today.

Cheers Sir. Hopefully it'll continue.