Your daily forecasts from Boards.ie weather forum (NO CHAT)

Friday, 18 August, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead ... rather warm, trending closer to average late next week, overall about 1-2 deg above normal. Rainfall near normal for most but 25 to 50 per cent above normal in west Munster and parts of Connacht, much of this expected later today. Sunshine will keep pace with late August average values near 4.5 hours a day.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be rather warm and muggy with southeast winds 40-60 km/hr. Outbreaks of rain will come and go, with brief brighter spells between them. Some heavy and possibly thundery showers will push into west Munster by mid to late afternoon; highs 18 to 22 C. Rainfalls in parts of west Munster 20-30 mm could create spot flooding especially near mountains.

TONIGHT will be quite unsettled and in some places briefly stormy, with outbreaks of heavy and possibly thundery showers, local wind gusts to 80 km/hr, and risk of hail. This band of stormy weather will be moving through fairly rapidly from south to north during the overnight hours. Local rainfalls 15-25 mm in central and northern counties. Lows near 14 C.

SATURDAY partly cloudy, some further showers but clearing mid-day with some warm sunny breaks, lows near 14 C and highs near 21 C.

SUNDAY partly cloudy, showers and sunny breaks, lows near 12 C and highs near 20 C.

MONDAY sunny with cloudy intervals, isolated showers but these may spread through central counties by afternoon, lows near 11 C and highs near 20 C.

TUESDAY partly cloudy, showers, lows near 12 C and highs near 21 C.

WEDNESDAY and THURSDAY will turn cooler with frequent showers and northerly breezes, lows near 12 C and highs near 18 C.

From there to end of August, generally rather cool and unsettled but there could be brief dry intervals that allow for more moderate temperatures.

My local weather remained hot and dry with decreasing smoke haze as winds slowly picked up from a southerly direction, highest temperatures around 35 C but as low pressure forms over the region tonight, temperatures have stayed quite high with the wind mixing the air and allowing superheated air from central WA state into the region. It is still 32 C (!) at 11 p.m. here. A strong front is forming across central Alberta and BC, and that may set off thunderstorms here around 0800h after which I am expecting strong wind gusts from the northeast. It should then turn cooler after staying warm all night. We are lucky not to have any active fires near us, but other parts of B.C. are seeing emergency evacuations as fires start spreading faster with these windy, hot conditions.

Meanwhile, Hurricane Hilary in the Pacific west of Mexico, now a major cat-4 storm, is taking a rather unusual track north towards southern California. There may be a landfall but at only tropical storm intensity near Los Angeles or San Diego on Sunday. Rain from this tropical storm will spread into many parts of the western U.S. and we may even see some here. The heat will rapidly reposition further east over the plains states, and will begin to make its presence felt in most eastern states by Monday.

Saturday, 19 August, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS for the week ahead will be generally close to normal values in all aspects (from this hour, if including all hours of today, a little wetter).

FORECASTS

TODAY will be windy with further squally showers and a few sunny breaks developing, more frequent by afternoon as the strong winds ease gradually from southwest 50-80 km/hr this morning, to 40-60 km/hr by afternoon; highs 18 to 22 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy with a few brief showers, mild, lows 12 to 14 C.

SUNDAY will be partly cloudy with showers generally more isolated, moderate south to southwest breezes, highs 19 to 22 C.

MONDAY and TUESDAY both similar, partly cloudy, a few showers and lows 11 to 13 C, highs 18 to 21 C.

WEDNESDAY partly cloudy to overcast, showers, a bit cooler, lows near 10 C and highs 17 to 20 C.

From mid-week to weekend of 26th-27th and probably on into the following week, somewhat cooler with frequent showers in a moderate northerly air flow, tending to become more easterly near start of September. In general, highest temperatures in the 15 to 18 C range.

My local weather turned a bit cooler with northerly breezes kicking in around mid-morning, intervals of rather dense smoke haze from large fires about 150 km to our west, and a bright red sun most of the day with some higher cloud as well as the smoke haze. Afternoon temperatures began to fall from 27 C towards current value of 14 C at 11 p.m. ... would be nice to let that cooler air blow in, but preferring to keep the smoke out for now. Severe heat will now transfer to central plains states and the west will get a reprieve, followed by arrival of remnants of Pacific Hurricane Hilary after expected Sunday landfall in southern California.

Monday, 21 August, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS remain rather bland and close to average, possibly a bit less than normal amounts of rainfall.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be sunny in some parts of the south and central counties this morning, becoming partly cloudy to overcast with a few showers, more persistent in Connacht and Ulster; highs 18 to 21 C. Rainfalls about 2-5 mm.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast with occasional rain, again more persistent in north, lows 10 to 13 C.

TUESDAY and WEDNESDAY, little change, partly cloudy, occasional showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 20 C.

By THURSDAY, somewhat cooler as winds turn more northerly, showers or intervals of light rain, lows near 9 C and highs near 18 C.

FRIDAY and WEEKEND 26th-27th will continue rather cool and showery with a slow improving trend with fewer showers and longer sunny breaks by Sunday, lows 7 to 10 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

The following week appears likely to be variable, temperatures generally near or a little below normal with highs around 17 C, and several outbreaks of rain likely from passing disturbances and possibly some strong westerly winds at times. Tuesday 29th and Friday 1st September are currently the timing for frontal passages; Monday 28th and Thursday 31st more likely to be dry and settled days.

My local weather was sunny with moderate smoke haze, and a bit warmer again with a high near 25 C. Pacific Hurricane Hilary moved inland as expected near Tijuana and San Diego on Sunday afternoon local time. Rainfalls of 30-50 mm were widespread and 100-150 mm in some of the local mountain ranges; quite cool for the desert southwest region, especially in Nevada where some locations had record low daytime highs in the 14 to 18 C range (Las Vegas 26 C). Severe heat continues in the central regions of the U.S. and a brief extension of that heat to the east coast will take place today before cooler high pressure pushes it away to the south.

The Atlantic is slowly becoming more active and some hurricanes appear possible in about ten days to two weeks, in the vicinity of Bermuda and eastern Canada. Remnants of those could get into the weather picture for Ireland eventually (mid-September possibly).

Wednesday, 23 August, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Temperatures will be slowly settling back to cooler than average, by 1-2 deg. Rainfall rather showery but will eventually reach near normal weekly totals when heavier rain arrives by next Tuesday. Sunshine falling back to around 75% of normal, or about three hours a day on average, possibly less in some areas.

FORECASTS

TODAY variable cloud with occasional showers, more persistent in southeast while skies may be gradually clearing further west and north this afternoon, highs 17 to 20 C.

TONIGHT partly cloudy, isolated brief showers, lows 8 to 11 C.

THURSDAY, somewhat cooler as winds turn more northwesterly, dry intervals in some parts of the east and south, showers or intervals of light rain near west and north coasts, and highs near 18 C.

FRIDAY, partly cloudy to overcast, cool, showers becoming more frequent in west and north, lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C. Moderate northwest to northerly breezes 30-50 km/hr.

SATURDAY partly cloudy, cool, scattered showers, lows near 8 C and highs near 16 C.

SUNDAY occasional rain, partial clearing by afternoon and evening, cool. Lows near 10 C and highs 15 to 17 C.

MONDAY variable cloud, showers, lows near 10 C and highs 15 to 17 C. Rain becoming heavier in Connacht and Ulster by afternoon and evening.

TUESDAY intervals of rain may turn heavy at times in south and east as the disturbance slowly progresses, lows near 11 C and highs 15 to 17 C.

WEDNESDAY (30th) showers followed by partial clearing, cool, breezy, lows near 8 C, highs 14 to 16 C.

Some improvements briefly near end of month but another wet spell (you guessed it) around weekend of 2-3 September. Guidance advises this could be a fairly heavy rainfall, but timing is uncertain (except for the calendar aspect), and a drier interval may follow with temperatures recovering a little in the first full week of September.

My local weather turned quite cool and damp, with occasional light rain, mist and fog, mixing with the smoke haze which was gradually improving as the distant fires begin to diminish. It was only around 17 C for a high, much cooler than most days this summer here. Severe heat continues in the south central U.S. with pleasant dry and not overly hot weather in the eastern regions, all associated with nearly stationary high pressure in the upper levels over Iowa and Illinois, where the maturing corn crop is "sweating" moisture to create abnormally high dew points above 28 C in some places, in the stagnant heat wave.

Friday, 25 August, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS remain rather close to normal in all respects with a tendency towards cool and unsettled but not enough so to produce much of a departure from average.

FORECASTS

TODAY will become mostly cloudy with rather widespread showers developing across Ulster. Connacht and inland Leinster, eventually spreading to south and east coasts by afternoon. About 2-5 mm of rain is likely for most locations. Winds moderate northwest 40-60 km/hr with a few stronger gusts near Atlantic coasts. Cool, highs only 14 or 15 C in west and north, 16 C east and south.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast with occasional light rain and moderate northwest to north winds, lows 8 to 10 C.

SATURDAY will continue cool and breezy with more outbreaks of showery rain and possibly an isolated thunderstorm. Conditions may begin to improve gradually by afternoon as winds back more to westerly. Lows near 10 C and highs near 16 C. Rain overnight into Sunday morning will amount to 5-10 mm.

SUNDAY rain ending, breezy and partly cloudy with longer sunny intervals, becoming a bit warmer, lows near 9 C and highs near 19 C.

MONDAY will start out relatively dry with increasing cloud and scattered showers by afternoon and evening. This weak disturbance will continue into TUESDAY with moderate west to northwest breezes, lows both days 8 to 10 C, highs near 17 C. The heaviest rainfalls (about 5-10 mm) from this event appear likely to be overnight into early Tuesday and over Connacht and west Ulster as the system may begin to fragment further east.

The rest of the week will bring on further weak disturbances so would expect little change to the variable weather pattern, a bit of sun at times, and occasional mostly light rainfall. Temperatures will remain in a similar range (days near 18 C, nights near 10 C).

My local weather was hazy but with less smoke, and more bright sunshine, warmer at about 25 C. It remained very hot in the Midwest U.S. states with Chicago hitting 100 F (38 C) for the first time since July, 2012. It was well over that in Kansas (near 42 C).

Sunday, 27 August, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS are rather cool, wet and cloudy for the week ahead.

FORECASTS

TODAY a band of rain will gradually spread through eastern counties and will begin to clear away from western counties this morning. Partly cloudy in central regions by afternoon, rain tapering to drizzle in Leinster after 3-7 mm falls; highs 15 to 17 C.

TONIGHT partly cloudy, dry, lows 8 to 11 C.

MONDAY will be partly cloudy and generally dry, with highs around 18 C.

TUESDAY sunny with cloudy intervals and passing showers, lows 8 to 10 C, highs near 17 C.

WEDNESDAY increasing cloud, rain by afternoon or evening from west to east, lows 6 to 8 C and highs near 18 C.

THURSDAY rain ending from west to east by mid-day, sunny spells developing, lows near 11 C and highs near 18 C.

FRIDAY variable cloud, a few showers, lows near 10 C and highs near 19 C.

WEEKEND of 2-3 SEP looks variable and rather warm with occasional rain and some sunny breaks, lows near 12 C and highs 19 to 22 C.

A gradual trend towards drier and more settled weather may follow as high pressure begins to dominate, causing the jet stream to split into two branches steering some disturbances well to the south and others further north. Temperatures are looking near normal in that interval.

The heaviest rainfalls (about 5-10 mm) from this event appear likely to be overnight into early Tuesday and over Connacht and west Ulster as the system may begin to fragment further east.

My local weather was sunny and very warm on Saturday with a high near 28 C.

Tuesday, 29 August, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... temperatures will slowly rise to 1-3 deg above normal later in this coming week, rainfalls will be about half of normal values, mostly confined to late Wednesday and Thursday, and sunshine may manage to keep pace with seasonal average values near 4h per day.

FORECASTS

TODAY partly cloudy to sunny at times, with some cloudy intervals and isolated passing showers, lows 8 to 10 C, highs near 17 C.

TONIGHT partly cloudy to overcast, lows 6 to 9 C.

WEDNESDAY some morning bright spells then increasing cloud, rain by afternoon or evening from west to east, and highs near 18 C.

THURSDAY rain ending from west to east by mid-day, sunny spells developing, lows near 11 C and highs near 18 C.

FRIDAY variable cloud, a few showers mainly over southern counties by afternoon, in a variable northeast breeze, morning fog may be persistent in valleys for a while due to slack winds, sunny breaks more widespread later, with lows near 10 C and highs near 19 C.

WEEKEND of 2-3 SEP continues to look better and now could be mostly sunny apart from lingering morning fog or low cloud, and a bit warmer too, lows 6 to 10 C and highs 19 to 23 C. The earlier indication of locally heavy showers or thunderstorms by Saturday night, near east coast, has been dropped for now as high pressure seems to be stronger. This is a good thing since remnants of Franklin have been showing a gradual tendency to aim more for Iceland than Greenland in recent model runs but this ridge should direct Franklin to an arctic grave.

A gradual trend towards drier and more settled weather may follow as high pressure begins to dominate, causing the jet stream to split into two branches steering some disturbances well to the south and others further north. Temperatures are looking near normal in that interval although perhaps a bit above especially for inland southeast.

My local weather on Monday was sunny, quite hazy and hot with a high near 33 C. Pleasant overnight, clear with a very low-hanging nearly full moon, Saturn to its left and Jupiter just rising in the haze at 10:30 p.m. Jupiter will become a very prominent object in clear skies this autumn as we overtake it around early November. Meanwhile, hurricane Franklin has reached cat-4 intensity west of Bermuda but fortunately its track avoids major disruptive landfalls on its way past Newfoundland towards east Greenland (that will be intense but in an almost uninhabited portion of Greenland). Bermuda could get some near-hurricane force gusts as Franklin motors past.

Idalia will soon be a hurricane west of Fort Myers and Tampa Bay later today and into tonight, and may make a landfall as a cat-3 hurricane around Wednesday in north central Florida, feeding off 30C Gulf waters. It does not look like a direct hit on the Tampa-St Petersburg metro area but storm surge issues may be significant with tropical storm force south winds at least, pushing water into Tampa Bay. A much more dangerous potential exists further north. Cedar Key north to Steinhatchee will need to prepare for a damaging landfall late tonight or early Wednesday. But these storms can change course late in the interval before landfall, as was the case with intense Charley in August, 2004 (not the one that hit Ireland in 1986, name re-used until this one retired it).

Thursday, 31 August, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... temperatures will slowly rise to 1-3 deg above normal later in this coming interval, rainfalls will be about 35% of normal values, mostly confined to later today and Friday (in the south), and sunshine may eventually reach 25 to 50 per cent above average despite today's cloudy start.

FORECASTS

TODAY rain ending from west to east by mid-day, with some showers lingering in east and north; sunny spells developing this morning for Connacht and Munster, and by afternoon in Leinster and most of Ulster, remaining cloudy to evening in north Leinster and east Ulster, with highs near 18 C.

TONIGHT a few clear intervals, but cloudy across parts of the south, a few showers. Lows 8 to 11 C.

FRIDAY variable cloud, a few showers mainly over southern counties by afternoon, in a variable northeast breeze, morning fog may be persistent in valleys for a while due to slack winds, sunny breaks more widespread later, with highs near 19 C.

SATURDAY after some patchy fog and low cloud, sunny breaks developing, warm especially inland, lows 6 to 9 C and highs 19 to 22 C.

SUNDAY another cloudy or foggy start, low cloud rather persistent near west and north coasts, hazy and warm sunshine at times elsewhere, lows 6 to 9 C and highs 18 to 23 C.

Dry and settled weather is indicated to persist most to mid-week, ending with the arrival of (not as) slow-moving low pressure from the south around Wednesday 6th but staying warm with highs all week around 21 to 24 C away from some cooler coastal areas. Remnants of Franklin will continue to drift east to about 28 deg W before turning north and linking to the system crossing Ireland from a southern origin, to form eventually into one distant low near Iceland late in the week. Remnants of Idalia could meander through the central Atlantic for almost two weeks before energizing low pressure and that result could show up in Ireland around two weeks from now, after another settled interval around the weekend of 9th-10th. Many weather watchers are thinking it could be as warm a September as June turned out.

My local weather was cloudy with some steady rain all morning (10-15 mm) and a very low cloud ceiling making it foggy on hills nearby. The high was only about 16 C and it felt like autumn but we are due to go back into warm and dry conditions gradually towards the weekend.

Idalia made its landfall as expected near Keaton Beach, FL and has already reached the coast of North Carolina. It will now slow down, drift southeast, then circle back around west of Bermuda for several days as a weak tropical storm. Franklin is chugging along to the north of Bermuda and the two storms are now not all that far apart but seem destined not to meet. Another tropical storm will form in the eastern Atlantic and feed into the low mentioned for Ireland next week. Also another hurricane is indicated for the western Atlantic in about a week to ten days.

Saturday, 2 September, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... very warm and generally dry to mid-week then some scattered outbreaks of locally heavy thundery showers, amounts quite variable, likely to be heaviest inland west and north at first, then near east coast. Sunshine fairly generous although low cloud and morning fog will cut into totals in some places.

FORECASTS

TODAY will start out cloudy and foggy or misty in places, with sunshine gradually breaking through, warm and rather calm by mid-day and afternoon, highs 19 to 23 C.

TONIGHT will be clear in places to about midnight and then low cloud and fog patches will become widespread, lows 8 to 11 C.

SUNDAY hazy sunshine in most places by mid-day, more persistent low cloud and drizzle or fog near some western coasts; highs 19 to 23 C.

MONDAY foggy morning, hazy sunshine later, quite warm, lows near 10 C and highs 21 to 25 C.

TUESDAY some fog patches, hazy sunshine following, very warm. Lows near 12 C, highs near 25 C inland, 19 to 23 C coastal areas.

WEDNESDAY variable cloud, warm, thundery showers by afternoon in a few locations, lows near 14 C, highs near 24 C.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY warm and humid, outbreaks of thundery rain, some warm sun at times, lows near 15 C, highs near 23 C.

Somewhat cooler by weekend of 9th-10th but still fairly warm and some pleasant sunny spells along with more scattered showers. There are no really strong signals of a complete breakdown of this warm spell yet. Travelling to eastern England or France? Expect hot temperatures especially during the work week ahead, highs could reach 30-33 C in places.

My local weather on Friday was sunny and warm with a high of 25 C.

Strong auroral activity is expected in various regions for several days as large solar flares have taken place. Today is the anniversary of the "Carrington event" of 1859, a solar storm that, if it occurred in today's technological environment, could cause enormous damage. In 1859 it managed to send strong electrical currents through telegraph lines and operators could send messages without generating the usual necessary electrical power (if they still had usable equipment). A repeat of the Carrington event now could quite possibly create a huge international crisis as it would "fry" a lot of our power grids and infra-structure.

(a picture of Debbie Downer might be appropriate here) ... as they say, go with the flow.

Monday, 4 September, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS will be warm (3 to 5 deg above normal) and dry (rainfall 10 to 25 per cent of normal) with sunshine above average by 25 to 50 per cent. Winds generally light southeast, variable at times, and calm at night with extensive fog.

FORECASTS

TODAY mist or fog in some locations for a while this morning, giving way to hazy sunshine, very warm with highs 21 to 25 C. Only slight cooling from sea breezes but some mist or low cloud possible on outer coastal fringes.

TONIGHT clear at first, then some fog and mist after midnight. Lows 10 to 13 C.

TUESDAY some fog patches, hazy sunshine following, very warm with highs near 25 C inland, 19 to 23 C coastal areas. Isolated showers or thunderstorms in west Munster tracking towards northwest.

WEDNESDAY variable cloud, warm, thundery showers by afternoon in a few locations, lows near 14 C, highs near 24 C.

THURSDAY and FRIDAY warm and humid, partly cloudy with a few outbreaks of thundery rain, more widespread on Thursday than Friday, and still some warm sunshine at times, lows near 15 C, highs near 23 C.

SATURDAY morning fog leading to hazy sunshine, warm. Lows near 13 C and highs near 23 C.

SUNDAY-MONDAY a weak front will skim across northern counties, leading to more cloud and a few showers there. Little or no change to the warm spell further south, so temperatures on these days will range from near 18 C north to 23 C south. As high pressure builds back in from the west, a continuation of the warm, dry and (at night) sometimes foggy spell will last well into mid-September. Any changes may be rather subtle and could involve the building in from north or east of reinforced high pressure, which could lead to somewhat colder nights and/or denser fog which is often the case as September nights lengthen.

As warm as this may sound, eastern England will be in for mid-summer heat reaching 31 or 32 C by mid-week. I think one or two locations in Ireland could possibly reach 27 C as very warm air is spreading in aloft here also.

My local weather on Sunday was cloudy with a few sunny breaks, and distant showers off to our south but no rain recorded here yet. The high was around 23 C.

Wednesday, 6 September, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS will be generally warm and dry to around Sunday with just scattered thundery showers, becoming more widespread after Sunday and perhaps amounting to near normal rainfalls in some areas although with potential for spot flooding around Monday-Tuesday as slow moving fronts finally put an end to the warm spell. Sunshine throughout will be variable due to small-scale disturbances leading to quite variable amounts of sunshine but on the whole, expect near normal totals. 

FORECASTS

TODAY will be very warm with hazy sunshine in many areas, isolated thunderstorms possible over inland western counties. Highs 23 to 26 C. 

TONIGHT muggy and quite warm with fog developing after midnight in some areas, lows 14 to 18 C. 

THURSDAY more showers and thunderstorms, possibly more towards the east coast from a weak disturbance moving north through the Irish Sea, but still some hazy sun and warm temperatures likely, highs 23 to 26 C. 

FRIDAY and SATURDAY will continue hazy, very warm, and there may be fewer showers around, lows 14 to 18 C and highs 22 to 25 C. 

SUNDAY partly cloudy to overcast, warm, humid, scattered thundery showers could become heavy in some areas (inland south is favoured). Lows 15 to 19 C and highs 21 to 24 C. 

By MONDAY-TUESDAY there may be more organized frontal rainfalls and these could be quite heavy in some areas. Lows near 14 C and highs 17 to 20 C. 

Later next week there may be a brief dry interval again with high pressure trying to rebuild, but latest guidance suggests this may be quite transitory and further Atlantic lows are likely to begin to dominate the weather. I think it's fair to say the models are struggling to get a grip on developments past five days and any forecast suggestions are probably quite speculative. 

My local weather on Tuesday was partly cloudy and pleasant with a high near 24 C. Severe heat continued in eastern regions with more records set in the central plains to mid Atlantic coast of the U.S.

I will soon be taking off on a long-overdue vacation (to the usual destination, southwestern deserts) and at some point soon you may find some guest forecasters here, be kind. 

Friday, 8 September, 2023 ___ Forecasts for Ireland

TRENDS ... Very warm to Sunday night, possibly part of Monday in south, then cooling to near normal values. Rainfalls near average but mostly confined to Sunday-Monday and possibly next Thursday. Sunshine probably running a bit below average overall.

FORECASTS

TODAY will be partly cloudy to sunny, hazy and humid, with a few isolated showers or thunderstorms mostly inland west; highs 24 to 28 C.

TONIGHT will be partly cloudy to overcast with some fog or mist towards morning, warm with lows 14 to 18 C.

SATURDAY partly cloudy, warm, humid, a few showers or isolated thunderstorms. Lows 14 to 18 C, highs 22 to 26 C.

SUNDAY mostly cloudy, showers and thunderstorms, some heavy downpours possible, lows 15 to 19 C and highs 19 to 22 C.

MONDAY variable cloud to overcast, outbreaks of rain more persistent in west and north and cooler, lows 10 to 13 C and highs 17 to 20 C.

TUESDAY partly cloudy to sunny, lows 7 to 9 C and highs near 18 C.

WEDNESDAY increasing cloud, rain by afternoon or evening, lows near 7 C and highs 18 to 20 C.

THURSDAY intervals of rain or passing showers, rather windy, lows near 10 C and highs 15 to 18 C.

FRIDAY (15th) cool and breezy, passing showers, some with hail, lows near 6 C and highs 11 to 14 C.

This cooler interval may persist through a good part of weekend 16th-17th with further rain at times, then a more variable and possibly stormy interval is likely around the equinox.

My local weather was sunny with a high of 24 C. In the tropical Atlantic, Lee has rapidly intensified to a cat-5 hurricane east of Antigua and it should continue on a west-north-west track safely out to sea relative to the Virgin Islands, could make a dangerous approach to Bermuda in a few days and then a landfall in eastern Canada in about a week from now. Margot has formed west of the Islas Cabo Verde and is a disorganized tropical storm at present, could become a less severe hurricane west of the Azores about the time Lee is approaching Bermuda, and circle around for a run at western Europe. Stay tuned for that potential as well as the possibility that the models will change course for Lee, not too sure about that possibility. This time my planned absence is a sure thing for a while, I posted this outlook as I wasn't sure about available forecast alternatives, but the word has gone out, sure someone will post, so take care and enjoy what remains of the late summer spell.