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turbobaby · 05-09-2012, 13:51

Here we go again! A bit short for time right now as I'm in work, but I will write up some analysis later. Just to say I am back for 2012/13 season with another ridiculous accumulator. This time it's only a double though!

Here it is:

Nottingham Forest to be promoted from the Championship 4/1 (5.0)

Stuart Beavon to be League One top scorer 33/1 (34.0)

Accy odds 169/1 (170.0)

Stake €150 (£115)

Potential returns €25,200 (£19,950)

Bookie Coral.co.uk

For those of you not familiar with my bets, I've had a few similar season-long accumulators, the notable ones included Nicky Maynard, Shane Long and Ross McCormack. The threads should be still available to read.

Screen shot when I get home.

JHet · 05-09-2012, 18:33

Wowsa! Good luck with that!

iggy · 05-09-2012, 20:32

Quote:

Originally Posted by JHet

Wowsa! Good luck with that!

Best of luck.
Is S beavon league 2 player?(Wycombe )

He's 18/1 on PP

turbobaby · 05-09-2012, 21:12

Stuart Beavon signed for Preston on deadline day from Wycombe. He absolutely banged them in last year in a poor side. He almost single handedly kept Wycombe League One. If he can perform to the same standard at a much better side, he is far better than a 33/1 shot for top scorer.

Preston have completely changed their whole squad under the guidance of Graham Westley who I have huge respect for and I predict that they will
improve as the season goes on.

Forest have also brought in a lot of quality, especially up top with Billy Sharp and Simon Cox. They've had a great start and confident that they are better value than 4/1 for promotion.

iggy · 05-09-2012, 21:49

Cheers
I copied your 2 bets and added Chelsea to win Premier and Juventus to win CL.
I only did a small yankee but PP have Beavon listed to be top scorer in League 2 @18/1.
Should i get onto them and change it as would that part of my bet now be void?

turbobaby · 06-09-2012, 05:50

Yeah, you'll defo have to get onto them. A quick email should do it. Doubt they'll give you 33/1 though, but mention that Coral offer that price and you'd rather not have to open an account there (but you will if PP don't give you a good price)

I would also look into Preston to be promoted and Forest's Billy Sharp to be championship top scorer, but his odds weren't good enough on Coral.

Good luck!

MrQ · 06-09-2012, 09:50

Best of luck, decent price for two realistic selections.

turbobaby · 06-09-2012, 11:21

Thanks man. It's always difficult to pick top scorers from the lower leagues as there are so many variables such as injuries and potential transfers out of the league in Jan. Beavon only just signed so he'll be staying put and is proven at this level. As far as I remember all the players that scored more league goals than him last year have moved up to the Championship.

Forest have been getting great reviews this season and there seems to be a real buzz around the City ground with a new owner, coach and exciting signings. I am actually very confident I will get a good run for my money.

The reason I place these bets is to keep me interested in the results through the whole season which stops me putting on stupid bets every week.

turbobaby · 07-09-2012, 07:00

I was thinking of doubling up here but instead of Forest to be promoted I would pick Mark Hughes to be the next premier league boss to leave his post.

They've bought a lot of overrated players on big wages over the summer. They've had an awful start. I can see them disposing of Hughes before Christmas if they are still in the bottom 3.

He's 13/2 with Coral. Would appreciate any insight from posters here. Will also visit the QPR forums to see if he has the support of the fans.

OnTheCounter · 07-09-2012, 13:11

Sure di matteo could be sacked next week.

turbobaby · 07-09-2012, 16:51

Yes, and that's why this game is called gambling. You pick who you think is more likely to get the boot. Chelsea are top of the league. QPR are bottom. I was asking for some insight, not some ridiculous comment about how it's actually possible the bet could lose.

turbobaby · 08-09-2012, 11:04

Right-o, I was unable to add Mark Hughes to my second and final bet, as it was a singles only market. So I had a look around the Coral site with the help of Oddschecker this morning to try find a bargain to go alongside Stuart Beavon who I still believe is an outstanding bet at 33/1.

I know less than nothing about American football but went with the Baltimore Ravens to be the AFC North Winner. Why? Because they were a standout price at Coral. All the other bookies believe they have a better chance of winning than Coral. My betting strategy is that the other bookies are right and Coral is wrong.

That's the same strategy as with my second selection of the treble. Dagenham and Redbridge Draw No Bet today versus Southend. Much better odds available than the other bookies and that's why I went against my standard long term strategy and picked a single event as part of my accumulator.

As a reminder, here are my two attempts at the one bet to €25,000 challenge.

1. £115 Double

Stuart Beavon to finish as top scorer in League 1 @ 34.0
Nottingham Forest to be promoted from the Championship @ 5.0

Total odds: 170.0

2. £65 Treble

Stuart Beavon to finish as top scorer in League 1 @ 34.0
Baltimore Ravens to win AFC North @ 2.625
Dagenham & Redbridge Draw No Bet @ 3.4

Total odds: 303.45

Now, I can post the screenshots!

turbobaby · 09-09-2012, 08:19

Yesterday was the perfect example of why I shouldn't do short term bets. Dagenham lost and even before the result was confirmed I had money on Scotland to draw.

That was a winning bet, but still didn't bring me back to where I was before.

Started lashing money on horses with no clue about their prospects. Eventually got lucky with my last few euros and I ended up ahead on the day.

A real loser deep down though as that kind of behaviour is ridiculous.

Will be back with a new long term accy later!

turbobaby · 10-09-2012, 12:29

My final selections have now been made. Using all the funds currently available for my season long accumulators I have added the following two bets:

and

All three accumulators have overlapping selections, but no selection is in all three accumulators.

All are attempting to win €25,000.

One bet to €25k or three bets to €75k

I have extremely low expectations of winning, but like I said earlier, this is money spent in order to keep me betting throughout the football season, and it will give me something to follow at the weekends.

I will start updating the rise and fall of the odds from next weekend onwards.

turbobaby · 16-09-2012, 07:42

Time for an update. Here's a list of all the selections, starting with the most important (the ones in in two accumulators).

Stuart Beavon - had some chances but no goals. Still 3 goals off the top.
Nottingham Forest - came back from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 and drop to sixth
Chester - lost their 23 game unbeaten run as soon as I back them. Drop to 2nd.
Dundee - Lost and their main rivals for bottom beat Celtic!
Peterborough - Lost 5-2. Still rock bottom.
Preston - beaten by Crawley at home 2-1
Chelsea - Held by QPR and Arsenal hammered Southampton
Juventus - Won. Roma and AC Milan both lost. Nice. Joint top with Lazio.

The odds will be updated on Monday, but there's no doubt my accumulators will have drifted a bit.

05-09-2012, 21:12	#4
turbobaby Banned Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 910 Adverts \| Friends	Stuart Beavon signed for Preston on deadline day from Wycombe. He absolutely banged them in last year in a poor side. He almost single handedly kept Wycombe League One. If he can perform to the same standard at a much better side, he is far better than a 33/1 shot for top scorer. Preston have completely changed their whole squad under the guidance of Graham Westley who I have huge respect for and I predict that they will improve as the season goes on. Forest have also brought in a lot of quality, especially up top with Billy Sharp and Simon Cox. They've had a great start and confident that they are better value than 4/1 for promotion. Last edited by turbobaby; 05-09-2012 at 21:45.

05-09-2012, 21:49	#5
iggy Registered User Join Date: Sep 2003 Location: Dublin Posts: 1,334 Adverts \| Friends	Cheers I copied your 2 bets and added Chelsea to win Premier and Juventus to win CL. I only did a small yankee but PP have Beavon listed to be top scorer in League 2 @18/1. Should i get onto them and change it as would that part of my bet now be void? Last edited by iggy; 05-09-2012 at 22:46.

16-09-2012, 07:42	#15
turbobaby Banned Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 910 Adverts \| Friends	Time for an update. Here's a list of all the selections, starting with the most important (the ones in in two accumulators). Stuart Beavon - had some chances but no goals. Still 3 goals off the top. Nottingham Forest - came back from 2-0 down to draw 2-2 and drop to sixth Chester - lost their 23 game unbeaten run as soon as I back them. Drop to 2nd. Dundee - Lost and their main rivals for bottom beat Celtic! Peterborough - Lost 5-2. Still rock bottom. Preston - beaten by Crawley at home 2-1 Chelsea - Held by QPR and Arsenal hammered Southampton Juventus - Won. Roma and AC Milan both lost. Nice. Joint top with Lazio. The odds will be updated on Monday, but there's no doubt my accumulators will have drifted a bit. Last edited by turbobaby; 16-09-2012 at 16:42.

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05-09-2012, 18:33	#2
JHet Registered User Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 405 Adverts \| Friends	Wowsa! Good luck with that!

06-09-2012, 05:50	#6
turbobaby Banned Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 910 Adverts \| Friends	Yeah, you'll defo have to get onto them. A quick email should do it. Doubt they'll give you 33/1 though, but mention that Coral offer that price and you'd rather not have to open an account there (but you will if PP don't give you a good price) I would also look into Preston to be promoted and Forest's Billy Sharp to be championship top scorer, but his odds weren't good enough on Coral. Good luck!

06-09-2012, 09:50	#7
MrQ Registered User Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 21 Adverts \| Friends	Best of luck, decent price for two realistic selections.

06-09-2012, 11:21	#8
turbobaby Banned Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 910 Adverts \| Friends	Thanks man. It's always difficult to pick top scorers from the lower leagues as there are so many variables such as injuries and potential transfers out of the league in Jan. Beavon only just signed so he'll be staying put and is proven at this level. As far as I remember all the players that scored more league goals than him last year have moved up to the Championship. Forest have been getting great reviews this season and there seems to be a real buzz around the City ground with a new owner, coach and exciting signings. I am actually very confident I will get a good run for my money. The reason I place these bets is to keep me interested in the results through the whole season which stops me putting on stupid bets every week.

07-09-2012, 07:00	#9
turbobaby Banned Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 910 Adverts \| Friends	I was thinking of doubling up here but instead of Forest to be promoted I would pick Mark Hughes to be the next premier league boss to leave his post. They've bought a lot of overrated players on big wages over the summer. They've had an awful start. I can see them disposing of Hughes before Christmas if they are still in the bottom 3. He's 13/2 with Coral. Would appreciate any insight from posters here. Will also visit the QPR forums to see if he has the support of the fans.

07-09-2012, 13:11	#10
OnTheCounter Registered User Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 426 Adverts \| Friends	Sure di matteo could be sacked next week.

07-09-2012, 16:51	#11
turbobaby Banned Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 910 Adverts \| Friends	Yes, and that's why this game is called gambling. You pick who you think is more likely to get the boot. Chelsea are top of the league. QPR are bottom. I was asking for some insight, not some ridiculous comment about how it's actually possible the bet could lose.

08-09-2012, 11:04	#12
turbobaby Banned Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 910 Adverts \| Friends	Right-o, I was unable to add Mark Hughes to my second and final bet, as it was a singles only market. So I had a look around the Coral site with the help of Oddschecker this morning to try find a bargain to go alongside Stuart Beavon who I still believe is an outstanding bet at 33/1. I know less than nothing about American football but went with the Baltimore Ravens to be the AFC North Winner. Why? Because they were a standout price at Coral. All the other bookies believe they have a better chance of winning than Coral. My betting strategy is that the other bookies are right and Coral is wrong. That's the same strategy as with my second selection of the treble. Dagenham and Redbridge Draw No Bet today versus Southend. Much better odds available than the other bookies and that's why I went against my standard long term strategy and picked a single event as part of my accumulator. As a reminder, here are my two attempts at the one bet to €25,000 challenge. 1. £115 Double Stuart Beavon to finish as top scorer in League 1 @ 34.0 Nottingham Forest to be promoted from the Championship @ 5.0 Total odds: 170.0 2. £65 Treble Stuart Beavon to finish as top scorer in League 1 @ 34.0 Baltimore Ravens to win AFC North @ 2.625 Dagenham & Redbridge Draw No Bet @ 3.4 Total odds: 303.45 Now, I can post the screenshots!

09-09-2012, 08:19	#13
turbobaby Banned Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 910 Adverts \| Friends	Yesterday was the perfect example of why I shouldn't do short term bets. Dagenham lost and even before the result was confirmed I had money on Scotland to draw. That was a winning bet, but still didn't bring me back to where I was before. Started lashing money on horses with no clue about their prospects. Eventually got lucky with my last few euros and I ended up ahead on the day. A real loser deep down though as that kind of behaviour is ridiculous. Will be back with a new long term accy later!

10-09-2012, 12:29	#14
turbobaby Banned Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 910 Adverts \| Friends	My final selections have now been made. Using all the funds currently available for my season long accumulators I have added the following two bets: and All three accumulators have overlapping selections, but no selection is in all three accumulators. All are attempting to win €25,000. One bet to €25k or three bets to €75k I have extremely low expectations of winning, but like I said earlier, this is money spent in order to keep me betting throughout the football season, and it will give me something to follow at the weekends. I will start updating the rise and fall of the odds from next weekend onwards.