[Huntley]

Indeed, it should be the amount generated in returning the profit which is 45.63.

I look forward to the day when I make enough to have an accountant deal with these issues.

Return on Investment

27.13 = 0.59456 x 100 = 59.46%
45.63

[ft9]

Fantastic return all the same.

[Huntley]

Fury (-2 points) ran a very credible race to finish a well held third. He is probably handicapped to the hilt at this stage and he didn't really see out the trip as I expected. Probably one to keep an eye for on a soft surface in future when he is dropped a couple of pounds.

Hermival (-1 point) outran his odds of 20/1 to finish a close third aswell. The Prix Djebel turned out to be a red hot contest ti seems with French Fifteen holding the form to finish a shoulder behind Camelot, who looks a very smart prospect indeed. He was possibly on the wrong side considering the first two came from the stand side, but I'm not sure would he have won even if he was amongst that pack. He improved plenty despite pulling hard for the first furlong, and I'm sure he has another big effort in him this season be it in England or back on French soil. I don't often put a flat horse into the tracker but this fella will definitely be going in, pity that he probably won't be going off anywhere near 20/1 again though.

Bank: 44.13 points (+24.13 points)

[Huntley]

Originally Posted by Huntley

16:30 Fairyhouse
Call The Police

If the Powers Gold Cup Chase was decided on the exchanges we would have a clear winner in the Peter Casey trained Flemenstar. I am a massive fan of that horse but I think the market has got the prices wrong here, and I am siding with the impressive Willie Mullins trained Call The Police.

Call The Police had some sketchy enough hurdle form last year but his transition to fences has really brought out the best of his abilities. Despite being 9 years old he is a lightly raced sort who is relatively unexposed with only 3 chase starts to date. His debut over timber came at Gowran Park last November when he ran out an easy winner of a beginners chase over 2 miles 4 furlongs on soft going. Connections were obviously delighted with that performance and felt he was capable of contesting the Grade 2 Pj Moriarty Novice Chase.

Despite only containing 4 runners it was a strong field with his stablemate Lambro and Grade 1 winning novice Last Instalment in the line up. I certainly felt it was a massive step up in quality but the horse surprised me by putting up a gallant effort to finish within 1½ lengths of the Gigginstown winner. He travelled well throughout that day and despite being slow at a couple of fences he showed enough to warrant an entry in the RSA chase at Cheltenham.

Call The Police was upped in trip that day to 3 miles and the quick nature of the ground had many feeling things would happen a little too quickly for him. However, Paul Townend got a fantastic tune out of his mount and he finished a credible third. His jumping really impressed me that day and was much improved from his previous two outings where he seemed to dawdle over his fences. He was very quick and clever and certainly shaped like an animal who has plenty of improvement in him.

It has only been over 3 weeks since that effort so hopefully it won't have taken the edge off him when he lines up tomorrow. He handled the ground really well last time out and the reports from the course are that the ground is riding on the slow side of good which should be perfect. The step back in trip of half a mile isn't ideal but I don't think he will be totally inconvenienced by it. He showed plenty of speed in the Pj Moriarty and if he can reproduce that performance I think he has every chance to land this contest. A line through his stablemate Lambro on that outing has Flemenstar on slightly better terms although the variance in trips make that difficult to assess comprehensively. Fairyhouse is a difficult course for some horses and the fact Ruby Walsh's mount hasn't raced there before is a slight concern but I'm willing to take my chance on him. Call The Police looks a very progressive animal and if he gets the run of the race he should have a live chance of getting involved at the business end of things in this Grade 1 contest.

17:50, Punchestown
Call The Police

The postponed AON Chase takes place tomorrow and I am going to side with Call The Police again.

He really disappointed last time out and was probably feeling the effects of his RSA efforts in hindsight. That may well be the case again tomorrow but he wasn't given a hard time of it when he was beaten and I'm hoping the break since will reinvigorate him. I did think a step back up in trip was required after that effort but he must be a very speedy horse at home as this is only a furlong further. I think if he is to have any chance in this contest tomorrow he needs to be ridden more prominently by Ruby who decided to hold him up last time.

The big swing for me as to why I am siding with this 9 year old is because he is the quality animal in the race and can exceed his mark of 142. The conditions are drying out as we speak but he has handled a sound sirface before even if it isn't ideal. The yard were obviously in cracking at since Punchestown and if Call The Police can run to his true ability I think he has every chance to land this weak enough handicap.

Call The Police, 2 points win at 3/1 (Ladbrokes)

[Huntley]

19:20, Punchestown
Beckett Rock

This 15 runner handicap chase tomorrow looks an open contest by all accounts and I'm favouring the Mouse Morris trained Beckett Rock.

Beckett Rock is relatively unexposed over fences with only 7 starts to date, where he has only finished out of the money on two occasions. His most substantial chase form is probably a 9 length beating by Zaarito over 2 and a half miles, which inspired connections to let him take his chance in the Irish National back in 2010. He unseated Slippers Madden on that occasion and a 6 length beating by Chicago Grey over 2 and a half miles again was his most recent stint over timber.

He has been kept hurdling ever since where he has struggled to overcome a mark in the low 130's, but he hasn't been racing on suitable conditions by any means. Out of Presenting this gelding was always going to prefer the top of the ground which he surprisingly hasn't seen much of. He ran a very credible third to Bertie's Dream in Thurles last month when he was given a very easy time of it by Ben Dalton. The ground was very quick that day which he relished but the heavy nature of Punchestown two weeks ago didn't suit in the slightest and he was pulled up in a handicap.

Mouse Morris is prone to a hit a miss system with his animals but I think he has finally got the right conditions for Beckett Rock tomorrow. Despite the majority of his hurdling form being over staying distances he never raced over 3 miles when chasing. He showed to be a sound enough jumper but has the tendency to sky his fences, although it is better that he clears them than dragging his hind legs through. This full brother to Niche Market has plenty of scope for improvement at 8, and like his brother, he may just start to come into his own in his later years. Andrew Lynch gets the leg up tomorrow and no doubt he will give the horse every chance to show his true ability if he is up to the task. He is also racing off a 6lbs lower mark than his previous endeavour over timber nearly two years ago so I am quietly confident that Beckett Rock may have slipped under the radar here at a big price.

Beckett Rock, 0.75 point win at 25/1 (Ladbrokes)

[Huntley]

Infuriating. That last fence at Punchestown has become my nemesis over the last two weeks.

Call The Police (-2 points) was well supported into 2/1 favourite. The rain overnight aided him greatly and he cruised into the lead coming up the straight and I was calculating my earnings already. He took a bad fall at the last to leave me open mouthed and somewhat disgusted considering the poor form I have been in.

Beckett Rock (-0.75 points) didn't get his conditions as I expected and was never really put into the race. He didn't actually jump that bad and is one to keep an eye on for me next year when he gets favourable conditions.

Bank: 42.38 points (+22.38 points)

[Huntley]

17:40, Clonmel
JacksonsLady

Philip Dempsey is more involved in the breeding industry down in Kildare but I think that his stable star JacksonsLady has a fair chance in this 2 mile 1 furling maiden contest.

The clear favourite for this race is Rebel Fitz who is a very classy horse who is a very classy horse in his own right. Micheal Winters thinks plenty of this animal and his 7 year old has plenty of scope to make a fabulous chaser this season. However, I don't think that he is value at such a short price with the soft ground not in his favour. JacksonsLady won a couple of weak hurdle races alst year and after being put away for the summer she ran credibly on return at Dundalk in late February. She was beaten 5 lengths by the decent mare Shop Dj over 2 miles and connections decided that a step back in trip to 11 furlongs was the next port of call. That decision almost payed dividends but she went down by over a length just a week later and the trainer felt they would take their chances on the NH scene again.

A 5 week hiatus followed and I was quite surprised to see JacksonsLady entered in a Grade 2 Novice Hurdle at the Fairyhouse Easter meeting. Barry Geraghty got a fantastic tune out of her that day and despite getting weight all around it was a very inspiring effort to beat home some decent animals in getting third. The ground had plenty of give in it that day and I think that just might be what this mare needs to show her best form. The very capable Pat Smullen gets the leg up here and with a 5lbs swing from the market leader I think JacksonsLady could be most suited by the conditions.

JacksonsLady, 1 point win at 8/1 (Ladbrokes)

[Huntley]

JacksonsLady (-1 point) was well supported into 5/1 but could only get 3rd. Rebel Fitz was too good and simply ran away from them and he is definitely one to keep a close eye on when they send him over timber.

Bank: 41.38 points (+21.38 points)

[Huntley]

I meant to get this up earlier but haven't had a chance so apologies if this goes tits up on the phone.

Originally Posted by Huntley

17:30, Punchestown
Realt Dubh

The Gold Cup on Wednesday was the initial aim for Realt Dubh but with the conditions changing it is a possibility that he will line up tomorrow in the Irish Champion Chase depending on how things pan out tonight.

Derek Sharkey's 8 year old had a fantastic novice season last year when kick started it with an impressive victory over the New Zealand bred Sweeps Hill. After falling in a Grade 3 contest when going well he bounced back to form when winning the Grade 2 Craddockstown in November 2010. He was well held in the Drinmore next time out when the subsequent RSA 2nd Jessie's Dream beat him well by 5 lengths. Realt Dubh's next two outings came in Grade 1 contests on testing conditions over 2 miles, and he won both beating off Paul Nolan's Noble Prince consecutively. That horse, who is coincidentally owned by Derek Sharkey's father Des, franked the form when he won the Jewson in March 2011.

It was always known that the horse is better on good ground and it was an impressive effort to finish third in the Arkle, despite seemingly being outpaced. A step up in trip for the Fairyhouse Gold Cup proved decisive when he ran out an 11 length over the decent yardstick Loosen My Load. Realt Dubh was then narrowly beaten in the Ryanair Novice at Punchestown by the Arkle winner Captain Chris, but it certainly didn't put any dampener on an amazing season for connections.

An injury since put this year on the backburner for this 8 year old until he reappeared at Cheltenham 6 weeks ago. He was never going to be suited by the Champion Chase trip but was certainly entitled to take his chance given the lack of competition for place money. He was outpaced fairly quickly in that contest but Paul Carberry sensibly let him do his own thing and he shouldn't feel the effects of that effort. Noel Meade's gelding's prime trip is 2 and a half miles, but unfortunately there is no race of that stature at Punchestown. I would be very dubious whether he would stay 3m 1f on testing ground and think that the 2 mile contest would suit more under the conditions. He would prefer better going but acts on anything and his staying power will certainly be an advantage over the genuine 2 milers. Sizing Europe is the best animal in the race but he never seems to perform to his best at this stage of the season and he is certainly oppossable at the price. Paul Carberry will get a fantastic spin off Realt Dubh anyway and I will settle for him to come back in one piece, because he will be a serious Ryanair contender next season if he stays sound.

Realt Dubh, 1 point win at 16/1 (Boylesports)

15:35, Killarney
Realt Dubh

Realt Dubh is going in a valuable enough handicap in Killarney today. I have no doubt he is going to a 160+ rated animal next year and if he can't overcome his hurdle mark of 135 I will be disgusted. The trip is a little on the short side but the ground is riding on the slow side of good and I think he is the one they all have to beat.

Realt Dubh, 4 points at 9/4 (Paddy Power)

[ste2010]

Originally Posted by Huntley

I meant to get this up earlier but haven't had a chance so apologies if this goes tits up on the phone.

15:35, Killarney
Realt Dubh

Realt Dubh is going in a valuable enough handicap in Killarney today. I have no doubt he is going to a 160+ rated animal next year and if he can't overcome his hurdle mark of 135 I will be disgusted. The trip is a little on the short side but the ground is riding on the slow side of good and I think he is the one they all have to beat.

Realt Dubh, 4 points at 9/4 (Paddy Power)

This looks like serious value...id put my house on it if I had the money in my hand. Didn't even realise he was racing today.
Id like to think it should be a slam dunk For Realt dubh!

[ste2010]

[Quote=ste2010;78653097]

Originally Posted by Huntley

I meant to get this up earlier but haven't had a chance so apologies if this goes tits up on the phone.

This looks like serious value...id put my house on it if I had the money in my hand. Didn't even realise he was racing today.
Id like to think it should be a slam dunk For Realt dubh!

Glad I didn't remortgage the house . What happened just seen the result? Out of the top 4 is all I can see

[Huntley]

He just never got into it Ste, obviously feeling the effects of Punchestown but it happens.

Realt Dubh didn't go a yard in Killarney and trailed in well beaten. He obviously felt the effects of a tough race last time out but that's just how it goes sometimes. Looking forward to next season with him anyway.

Bank: 37.38 (+17.38 points)

[Huntley]

14:30, York
Fencing

Fencing was a highly thought of animal by John Gosden last season who looks the type to improve further. He was well beaten in the Racingpost trophy by Camelot and that form wasn't reversed when they lined up in the 2000 Guineas two weeks ago. However, William Buick got a fantastic spin off his colt and ran in a very credible 6th. As I said he was always going to be suited by further and I think the 10 furlong trip should bring out more progression. It is obviously a competitive affair but I'm going to take a chance that Fencing has improved for the run and will hopefully go close in this Derby trial for connections.

Fencing, 1 point win at 5/1 (BetVictor)

[Huntley]

Fencing (-1 point) pulled hard for the first three furlongs and that was probably his undoing. He travelled strongly into contention but just failed to land a blow when asked.

Bank: 36.38 points (+16.38 points)

Still no winner on the flat, time to blow this up I think until October.

[RoverJames]

Originally Posted by Huntley

........... time to blow this up I think until October.

Go with virtual €s
My home and hosed log is virtual money.