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League of Ireland Bets

  • 23-06-2010 2:09am
    #1
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭


    Well as most of you know I mainly bet on the LoI when I post in the main gambling forum, and well was doing quite well before the break there. But well it's back this weekend so I said I'd start a betting log which will hopefully end up with profit and win anybody crazy enough to follow it money.:D

    Gonna start with a 100 points (all betting will be done on Boylesports I'd say, but that might change).

    Good few matches that I like the looks of this weekend already, will post up my final selections usually every Thursday, means I've got all my information, official team news, etc...


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Comments

  • #2
    The Volt
    Registered Users Posts: 7,957 ✭✭✭The Volt


    Best of luck man. Bloody hard to win money on the LOI


  • #3
    x PyRo
    Moderators Posts: 8,700 ✭✭✭x PyRo


    Best of luck Gav, Hope it goes well for you.


  • #4
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    Voltwad wrote: »
    Best of luck man. Bloody hard to win money on the LOI

    Sound. Ye it's tough enough, saying that I tipped Rovers e/w for the League last year on here and I tipped Pats e/w to win it this season on here too, along with a tonne of match bets.:D

    Sure we'll see how they pan out over the next few weeks and see how far these 100 pts go.:cool:


  • #5
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    Shamrock Rovers -2 @ 7/2 - 3 pts

    Over 2.5 goals Fingal -v- UCD and Drogs -v- Galway @ 4/1 - 3 pts

    Waterford Utd -2 @ 2/1 - 2 pts

    Cork -v- Limerick draw @ 2/1 - 2 pts


  • #6
    The Volt
    Registered Users Posts: 7,957 ✭✭✭The Volt


    returns what? I'm intrigued.


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  • #7
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    Voltwad wrote: »
    returns what? I'm intrigued.

    What?


  • #8
    SRFC90
    Registered Users Posts: 1,628 ✭✭✭SRFC90


    Whats all this points lark man!? Don't understand it!


  • #9
    The Volt
    Registered Users Posts: 7,957 ✭✭✭The Volt


    Gavin shels wrote: »
    What?
    How much do you sttand to gain?


  • #10
    stooge
    Registered Users Posts: 1,395 ✭✭✭stooge


    Voltwad wrote: »
    How much do you sttand to gain?

    Shamrock Rovers -2 @ 7/2 - 3 pts
    returns 13.50pts

    Over 2.5 goals Fingal -v- UCD and Drogs -v- Galway @ 4/1 - 3 pts
    returns 15pts

    Waterford Utd -2 @ 2/1 - 2 pts
    returns 6pts

    Cork -v- Limerick draw @ 2/1 - 2 pts
    returns 6pts


  • #11
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    SRFC90 wrote: »
    Whats all this points lark man!? Don't understand it!

    Just take it as one point = €1.;)
    Voltwad wrote: »
    How much do you sttand to gain?

    Aw right, cheers to stooge for doing that out. In future I'll do what it returns for you.;)


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  • #12
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    Gavin shels wrote: »
    Shamrock Rovers -2 @ 7/2 - 3 pts

    Over 2.5 goals Fingal -v- UCD and Drogs -v- Galway @ 4/1 - 3 pts

    Waterford Utd -2 @ 2/1 - 2 pts

    Cork -v- Limerick draw @ 2/1 - 2 pts

    Only 1 winner outta four. Very suprised at Rovers. Had planned on backing Longford or Draw/Limerick or Draw sick I didn't now.



    Bank 96pts.


  • #13
    SRFC90
    Registered Users Posts: 1,628 ✭✭✭SRFC90


    V unlucky with our result. Had a tenner on Rovers -1 and Twigg to score anytime.

    He could of had 6 and we missed 2 point blank chances from 4 yards. Unreal!!


  • #14
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    Fairly pished off with Shels -v- Fingal last night, got to see the teamsheets at like 7.30 and texted around to a couple of mates to get the odds on Shels or Draw, none of the feckers texted back.:mad:

    Liking the look of the LoI Premier matches this week Bohs -1, UCD, Sligo and Pats -1 look likely to be my bets once Boyles throw up the odds.


  • #15
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    Bohs -1 @ 2/1 - 2pts
    Returns 6pts

    Pats -1 @ 7/5 - 2pts
    Returns 4.8pts

    Drogs -v- UCD Over 2.5 goals @ 5/4 - 2pts
    Returns 4.5pts

    Drogs -v- UCD Over 2.5 goals / Pats -v- Galway Over 2.5 goals @ 4/1 - 1pt
    Returns 5pts

    Limerick and draw / Longford and draw @ EVENS - 2pts
    Returns 4pts



    Sligo -v- Shams DRAW
    Limerick -v- Waterford DRAW
    Longford -v- Cork DRAW
    @ 30/1 - 1pt
    Returns 31pts


  • #16
    coughlan08
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,899 ✭✭✭coughlan08


    i admire ya for trying to make a bit of money from the loi,,best of luck with it by the way,but i find your staking to be very strange,
    you have 1pt on a 30-1 shot and at the same time you have 2pts on at evens,this is only 1 example i know but its something maybe you should look into,i know for sertain if this was the staking strategy i used in my log i wouldnt last long,
    just my thoughts,
    all the best..;)


  • #17
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    coughlan08 wrote: »
    i admire ya for trying to make a bit of money from the loi,,best of luck with it by the way,but i find your staking to be very strange,
    you have 1pt on a 30-1 shot and at the same time you have 2pts on at evens,this is only 1 example i know but its something maybe you should look into,i know for sertain if this was the staking strategy i used in my log i wouldnt last long,
    just my thoughts,
    all the best..;)

    Well I don't take advice off people who are still in school! :DOnly joking mate.

    Ye I don't really have a staking plan, it's moreso the one's I feel will come true I put more points on, like predicting 3 draws @ 30/1 is a fairly hard bet so I only gave it 1pt, whereas Pats -1 got 2pts as Galway are pretty muck and their players weren't paid this week so morale will be down.


  • #18
    coughlan08
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,899 ✭✭✭coughlan08


    i think your missing the point a small bit...
    the 30-1 bet obviously is a lot less likely to happen than the pats -1,
    but your stakes dont reflect that,your stakes more or less say that the 30-1 bet has only double the chance of occuring than the pats bet.
    where realistically it has 21.4 times the chance of occuring than the pats bet.(30/1.4)=21.4.
    basically what im saying is that, the chance of occuring to odds ratio between your different bets are way off,,.
    hope you understand my point fully this time.
    ;)


  • #19
    joekeville
    Closed Accounts Posts: 108 ✭✭joekeville


    right gavo im taking ur advice :eek::eek:

    pats -1 15/8
    bohs -1 11/5
    sligo draw 21/10
    uruguay 11/10
    brazil 19/20
    argentina 13/10
    spain 1/2

    1 Euro gets me 400 lol
    ;)


  • #20
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    Gavin shels wrote: »
    Bohs -1 @ 2/1 - 2pts
    Returns 6pts

    Pats -1 @ 7/5 - 2pts
    Returns 4.8pts

    Drogs -v- UCD Over 2.5 goals @ 5/4 - 2pts
    Returns 4.5pts

    Drogs -v- UCD Over 2.5 goals / Pats -v- Galway Over 2.5 goals @ 4/1 - 1pt
    Returns 5pts

    Limerick and draw / Longford and draw @ EVENS - 2pts
    Returns 4pts



    Sligo -v- Shams DRAW
    Limerick -v- Waterford DRAW
    Longford -v- Cork DRAW
    @ 30/1 - 1pt
    Returns 31pts

    Few winners, poxy Sligo-v-Shams screwing my 30/1 bet.:mad:

    Bank 94.8pts


  • #21
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    Shams -v- Pats DRAW
    Fingal -v- Sligo DRAW
    @ 10/1 - 2pts
    Returns 20pts

    UCD -v- Bohs
    Paddy Madden First Goal Scorer @ 9/2 - 2pts
    Returns 11pts

    Draw or St Pats/Draw or Drogheda @ 2/1 - 1.8pts
    Returns 5.82pts

    Bank 89pts
    In Play 5.8pts

    Wasn't really planning on doing any bets but sure how and ever.

    Paddy Madden has scored 4 goals in 5 matches and is on fire for Bohs, player who will end up in England come next year imo. 9/2 is pretty good odds imo, and worth a punt.

    In the two matches between Shams and Pats this season the away team has won, Pats are on good form whereas Rovers have been shaky, Pats will be well able for a draw. Drogs although haven't been Dundalk in a Louth derby in 2 years iirc, BUT Dundalk played away in Europe on Thursday which from all reports sounded intense along with several players injured/suspended I think Drogs can snatch a draw in Oriel.


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  • #22
    dunno?
    Closed Accounts Posts: 71 ✭✭dunno?


    Gavin shels wrote: »
    Shams -v- Pats DRAW
    Fingal -v- Sligo DRAW
    @ 10/1 - 2pts
    Returns 20pts

    UCD -v- Bohs
    Paddy Madden First Goal Scorer @ 9/2 - 2pts
    Returns 11pts

    Draw or St Pats/Draw or Drogheda @ 2/1 - 1.8pts
    Returns 5.82pts

    Bank 89pts
    In Play 5.8pts

    Wasn't really planning on doing any bets but sure how and ever.

    Paddy Madden has scored 4 goals in 5 matches and is on fire for Bohs, player who will end up in England come next year imo. 9/2 is pretty good odds imo, and worth a punt.

    In the two matches between Shams and Pats this season the away team has won, Pats are on good form whereas Rovers have been shaky, Pats will be well able for a draw. Drogs although haven't been Dundalk in a Louth derby in 2 years iirc, BUT Dundalk played away in Europe on Thursday which from all reports sounded intense along with several players injured/suspended I think Drogs can snatch a draw in Oriel.
    Thanks mate I followed your Paddy Madden bet got 5/1 on ladbrokes


  • #23
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    dunno? wrote: »
    Thanks mate I followed your Paddy Madden bet got 5/1 on ladbrokes

    Good stuff, glad someone won some money from my log;). Hopefully the scores stay as and my other two bets will be winners.:D


  • #24
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    Gavin shels wrote: »
    Hopefully the scores stay as and my other two bets will be winners.:D

    And just as I say that Drogs go 2-1 down, after being winning 1-0.:mad:


  • #25
    dunno?
    Closed Accounts Posts: 71 ✭✭dunno?


    Its good to see someone doing this for the LOI fair play ;)


  • #26
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    Gavin shels wrote: »
    Shams -v- Pats DRAW
    Fingal -v- Sligo DRAW
    @ 10/1 - 2pts
    Returns 20pts

    UCD -v- Bohs
    Paddy Madden First Goal Scorer @ 9/2 - 2pts
    Returns 11pts

    Draw or St Pats/Draw or Drogheda @ 2/1 - 1.8pts
    Returns 5.82pts

    Bank 89pts
    In Play 5.8pts

    Back to square one with 100pt Bank. Very unlucky by all accounts, Ryan Guy missing a peno with virually the last kick of the game to screw over my 10/1 bet. Then by all accounts Drogs should have gotten the draw too.

    Knew making a profit would be hard but god is my luck bad.


  • #27
    celtic723
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 1,211 ✭✭✭celtic723


    This is what i had...

    Dundalk Vs. Drogs
    Bohs Vs. UCD
    Sligo Rovers Vs. Fingal DRAW
    and the one that ****ed one of my doubles over.........

    Pats Vs. Rovers DRAW

    Guy missed a bloody peno. RAGING:mad:


    Still won a few bob so i'm pleased.


  • #28
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    Gonna get these done early as won't be able to do them as usual on a Thursday and well I'll be on a bus down to Cork on Friday for the Shels match so these are somewhat blind-bets.

    Drogs -v- Bohs Over 2.5 goals / Sligo -v- Galway Over 2.5 goals @ 4/1 - 2pts
    Returns 10pts

    Bohs, Sligo, Fingal, and Pats all to win @ 7/1 - 1pt
    Returns 8pts

    Sligo -v- Galway DRAW
    Pats -v- UCD DRAW
    @ 10/1 - 1pt
    Returns 11pts


    Bank 96pts
    In Play 4pts


  • #29
    deise48
    Registered Users Posts: 585 ✭✭✭deise48


    madden 1st goalscorer again


  • #30
    ForzaKid
    Registered Users Posts: 320 ✭✭ForzaKid


    Gavin shels wrote: »
    Gonna get these done early as won't be able to do them as usual on a Thursday and well I'll be on a bus down to Cork on Friday for the Shels match so these are somewhat blind-bets.

    Drogs -v- Bohs Over 2.5 goals / Sligo -v- Galway Over 2.5 goals @ 4/1 - 2pts
    Returns 10pts

    Bohs, Sligo, Fingal, and Pats all to win @ 7/1 -     1pt
    Returns 8pts

    Sligo -v- Galway DRAW
    Pats -v- UCD DRAW
    @ 10/1 - 1pt
    Returns 11pts


    Bank 96pts
    In Play 4pts
    NICE obviously bout 5/1 seen as the bohs game was voided ya??


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  • #31
    Gavin "shels"
    Registered Users Posts: 17,962 ✭✭✭✭Gavin "shels"


    Gavin shels wrote: »

    Drogs -v- Bohs Over 2.5 goals / Sligo -v- Galway Over 2.5 goals @ 4/1 - 2pts
    Returns 10pts

    Bohs, Sligo, Fingal, and Pats all to win @ 7/1 - 1pt
    Returns 8pts


    Bank 96pts
    In Play 4pts

    Anyone know what odds I'd get on both of these since Bohs match was void, afaik they were 1/2 to win, not sure on the overs? Forgot to do the best myself.:mad:


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