Official Free Money Betting Superthread 2011/12

its_phil · 20-04-2012 2:24pm

Gone for accumulator:

Blues +9: WON
Stormers -2: WON
Clermont -10: 7:45
Ospreys -13: 7:05

Calculates to around 10/1

wp_rathead · 20-04-2012 4:46pm

Connacht -10 v Aironi

Aironi away:
Sun 04/09/11 RAP Scarlets 32 - 9 Aironi
Sat 17/09/11 RAP Newport Gwent Dragons 23 - 14 Aironi
Sat 01/10/11 RAP Leinster 26 - 7 Aironi
Fri 28/10/11 RAP Munster 18 - 6 Aironi
Thu 24/11/11 RAP Cardiff Blues 38 - 0 Aironi
Fri 02/12/11 RAP Edinburgh 50 - 10 Aironi
Sat 31/12/11 RAP Benetton Treviso 37 - 14 Aironi
Fri 17/02/12 RAP Ospreys 23 - 7 Aironi
Fri 23/03/12 RAP Glasgow Warriors 29 - 6 Aironi
Fri 30/03/12 RAP Ulster 45 - 7 Aironi

9/10 times (90%) lost the +10 Handicap away

Connacht playing good rugby and their final home game gets chance for team to build on solid home run they been building since the New Year- plus added with extra incentive of opportunity to get revenge for their away defeat to Aironi earlier in season, can see a good Connacht win

in a silly bet, have put €1 on a yellow card in all matches this weekend, would win about a €5er but don't see likely hood of it coming in at all at all..

wp_rathead · 20-04-2012 9:05pm

duckysauce wrote: »

Shane Williams last match for the Ospreys tomorrow night worth chucking a few Euro's on him anytime try scorer. Just watched a short documentary about him fcking class player and sound guy aswell.

Ducky you saucy little beaut :cool:

duckysauce · 20-04-2012 9:06pm

duckysauce wrote: »

Shane Williams last match for the Ospreys tomorrow night worth chucking a few Euro's on him anytime try scorer. Just watched a short documentary about him fcking class player and sound guy aswell.

last minute then he converts it , Great player going to be missed.

Juwwi · 20-04-2012 9:06pm

robbie1977 wrote: »

The Ospreys -13 with PP could be a great bet against the Dragons.
Ospreys will be looking for 5 points to keep 2nd place for the play offs
and the Dragons have had a bug in the camp this week and are missing some players.

from bbc site below.

"The Dragons have suffered back-to-back home defeats to Connacht and Treviso , and their preparations for the Ospreys clash have been hit by a sickness bug this week.
Seven players have missed training at the beginning of the week, raising doubts over their availability for Friday.
"I'm hoping they get well enough to play," added Edwards. "They're nowhere near fitness yet. It's a concern."
The Dragons make four changes to their trip to Swansea and have handed 17-year-old Hallam Amos his first PRO12 start at full back in place of Will Harries who went off injured last week. "

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/rugby-union/17752957

Im gona double Leinster -3 and Ospreys -13 and might do a single on Ospreys aswell.

Edit lodged money into skybet and took -2 Leinster and -13 Ospreys incase the lines change any more.

Jasus we got lucky there.

Ospreys led 17-6 at h-t and then did'nt score again until the 79th min which was a penalty try to put them 24-12 up.
A quick converstion gets the game back underway with 80 mins nearly up
only for Shane Williams to score another try in the 83rd minute.:D

very lucky but it makes up for all the hard luck storys.

irishbucsfan · 20-04-2012 9:10pm

Won my double (Leinster, 'Spreys). That was deadly.

Just need a Clermont win by 10 to complete a magical evening, cause I have them in a seperate treble with the originals!!

EmacB · 20-04-2012 9:13pm

robbie1977 wrote: »

The Ospreys -13 with PP could be a great bet against the Dragons.
Ospreys will be looking for 5 points to keep 2nd place for the play offs
and the Dragons have had a bug in the camp this week and are missing some players.

from bbc site below.

"The Dragons have suffered back-to-back home defeats to Connacht and Treviso , and their preparations for the Ospreys clash have been hit by a sickness bug this week.
Seven players have missed training at the beginning of the week, raising doubts over their availability for Friday.
"I'm hoping they get well enough to play," added Edwards. "They're nowhere near fitness yet. It's a concern."
The Dragons make four changes to their trip to Swansea and have handed 17-year-old Hallam Amos his first PRO12 start at full back in place of Will Harries who went off injured last week. "

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/rugby-union/17752957

Im gona double Leinster -3 and Ospreys -13 and might do a single on Ospreys aswell.

Edit lodged money into skybet and took -2 Leinster and -13 Ospreys incase the lines change any more.

http://gifsoup.com/view/1632704/cheers.html

beertons · 20-04-2012 9:27pm

Didn't think the Ospreys were gonna do it, so went for a shower.nice feeling when you log into paddy power when dry. Good call with the Leinster double.

duckysauce · 20-04-2012 9:28pm

irishbucsfan wrote: »

Won my double (Leinster, 'Spreys). That was deadly.

Just need a Clermont win by 10 to complete a magical evening, cause I have them in a seperate treble with the originals!!

22-9 to Ca

Have them in a crazy accum will see how it works tomorrow . Started off well today anyway.

irishbucsfan · 20-04-2012 9:28pm

CMON CLERMONT!!!!

EmacB · 20-04-2012 9:28pm

beertons wrote: »

Didn't think the Ospreys were gonna do it, so went for a shower.nice feeling when you log into paddy power when dry. Good call with the Leinster double.

Exact same thing happened to me last week. Ospreys have been good to me!

irishbucsfan · 20-04-2012 9:33pm

HA! TAKE THAT STATISTICS!

Judgement Day · 20-04-2012 9:38pm

Mixed night and regretting not taking the punt on Shane Williams - it was on my list - but I opted for safer bets and I am still ahead on the day. Tomorrow a splurge on Connacht by -10 points as recommended by wprathead who analyses things properly!

CatFromHue · 20-04-2012 9:50pm

wprathead wrote: »

Connacht -10 v Aironi

Aironi away:
Sun 04/09/11 RAP Scarlets 32 - 9 Aironi
Sat 17/09/11 RAP Newport Gwent Dragons 23 - 14 Aironi
Sat 01/10/11 RAP Leinster 26 - 7 Aironi
Fri 28/10/11 RAP Munster 18 - 6 Aironi
Thu 24/11/11 RAP Cardiff Blues 38 - 0 Aironi
Fri 02/12/11 RAP Edinburgh 50 - 10 Aironi
Sat 31/12/11 RAP Benetton Treviso 37 - 14 Aironi
Fri 17/02/12 RAP Ospreys 23 - 7 Aironi
Fri 23/03/12 RAP Glasgow Warriors 29 - 6 Aironi
Fri 30/03/12 RAP Ulster 45 - 7 Aironi

9/10 times (90%) lost the +10 Handicap away

Connacht playing good rugby and their final home game gets chance for team to build on solid home run they been building since the New Year- plus added with extra incentive of opportunity to get revenge for their away defeat to Aironi earlier in season, can see a good Connacht win

in a silly bet, have put €1 on a yellow card in all matches this weekend, would win about a €5er but don't see likely hood of it coming in at all at all..

The only thing that puts me off -10 is that Aironi have a very good record against Connacht.

10/11
Aironi 25 Connacht 13
Connacht 11 Aironi 6

11/12
Aironi 20 Connacht 6

Gracelessly Tom · 20-04-2012 10:55pm

Gracelessly Tom wrote: »

Have gone on the h/c double, Ospreys and Leinster. Also went singles on both and have taken Ospreys over 29.5 and Leinster over 19.5.

Anytime tryscorer bets on Shane Williams and Luke Fitz.

Been on a very good run on recent rugby betting, hope it doesn't end tonight!

A good night's gambling for me, even if it all hinged on a late try. Got 5 out of 7 and made a very healthy profit. Thank you Shane Williams, his injury time try meant 4 of the bets coming in!

:D

PhatPiggins · 20-04-2012 11:53pm

duckysauce wrote: »

last minute then he converts it , Great player going to be missed.

Shades of his last minute try for Wales against Australia in the autumn as well. The comentators we're all 'Oooooooh Shane Williams in his last home game for the Ospreys' but aren't they pretty much banker for a home semi now

thomond2006 · 21-04-2012 6:52am

PhatPiggins wrote: »

Shades of his last minute try for Wales against Australia in the autumn as well. The comentators we're all 'Oooooooh Shane Williams in his last home game for the Ospreys' but aren't they pretty much banker for a home semi now

I read somewhere that Williams wasn't going to play on till the end of the season, I thought he had already retired.

irishbucsfan · 21-04-2012 8:44am

thomond2006 wrote: »

PhatPiggins wrote: »

Shades of his last minute try for Wales against Australia in the autumn as well. The comentators we're all 'Oooooooh Shane Williams in his last home game for the Ospreys' but aren't they pretty much banker for a home semi now

I read somewhere that Williams wasn't going to play on till the end of the season, I thought he had already retired.

I don't understand... He's going to retire with just a couple of games to go? Surely he'd want his shot at the RDP!12?

thomond2006 · 21-04-2012 9:55am

irishbucsfan wrote: »

I don't understand... He's going to retire with just a couple of games to go? Surely he'd want his shot at the RDP!12?

In January or February he said he was going to play 1 or 2 more games and then retire, "there are young guys coming through who need gametime etc".

Judgement Day · 21-04-2012 10:44am

On the road Crusaders blew away Hurricanes this morning 42 -14 . It was edge of the seat stuff for me and my Crusaders -8 bet.

Just gone with Tom Carter #12 for Waratahs to score a try anytime against the Rebels. Game just started.

its_phil · 21-04-2012 3:09pm

CatFromHue wrote: »

The only thing that puts me off -10 is that Aironi have a very good record against Connacht.

10/11
Aironi 25 Connacht 13
Connacht 11 Aironi 6

11/12
Aironi 20 Connacht 6

Last years home game, was an incredibly difficult game of rugby with the weather. Never seen so much wind, rain, snow and hailstones in one game. I'd be very surprised if Connacht didnt beat that h'cap tonight.

P_1 · 21-04-2012 6:43pm

its_phil wrote: »

Last years home game, was an incredibly difficult game of rugby with the weather. Never seen so much wind, rain, snow and hailstones in one game. I'd be very surprised if Connacht didnt beat that h'cap tonight.

19-16 won with a last minute kick, ah well..

Judgement Day · 21-04-2012 9:02pm

.45 cents down on the day! If only Nikora had scored a try and if Scarlets had won by -2 it would have been a different story.

duckysauce · 21-04-2012 9:14pm

Judgement Day wrote: »

Mixed night and regretting not taking the punt on Shane Williams - it was on my list - but I opted for safer bets and I am still ahead on the day. Tomorrow a splurge on Connacht by -10 points as recommended by wprathead who analyses things properly!

analysis me hole where does that get you?;) better off with a gut feeling

P_1 · 22-04-2012 9:39am

Cardiff v Edinburgh. PP has Cardiff as 14 point favourites, surely some money to be made out of Edinburgh today?

Juwwi · 22-04-2012 11:28am

pithater1 wrote: »

Cardiff v Edinburgh. PP has Cardiff as 14 point favourites, surely some money to be made out of Edinburgh today?

I'd be weary pithater some Cardiff players are playing their last home match today and Edinburgh have made 13 changes to their team.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/rugby-union/17738902

Dont want to put you off a winning bet or anything tho.
If you do it there is +15 in a few if you have access to them ladbrokes is one.

thomond2006 · 22-04-2012 11:30am

Edinburgh won't give two ****s about playing Cardiff, wouldn't touch them.

P_1 · 22-04-2012 11:40am

robbie1977 wrote: »

I'd be weary pithater some Cardiff players are playing their last home match today and Edinburgh have made 13 changes to their team.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/rugby-union/17738902

Dont want to put you off a winning bet or anything tho.
If you do it there is +15 in a few if you have access to them ladbrokes is one.

Edinburgh +8 looks decent enough value. Can't see Edinburgh winning but I aslo can't see Cardiff running away with it.

P_1 · 22-04-2012 11:53am

Thoughts on this triple?

Exeter Chiefs v Northampton Saints - Exeter -3 at 8/11
A win for Exeter gets them into the playoffs. Exeter's home form this year is pretty good while Northampton are in a slight slump with a few high profile suspensions.

Cardiff Blues v Edinburgh - Edinburgh +8 at 17/10
Cardiff have been simply abysmal the last few matches. Edinburgh have some fringe players playing to put their hands up to be picked next week. Cardiff will win but I can't imagine them hammering Edinburgh.

Benetton Treviso v Glasgow Warriors - Treviso +4 at 4/7
Glasgow need the win to keep their playoff chances alive. Treviso are no pushovers at home though. Can see a tight win for Glasgow.

Only my 2nd week betting on the rugby but I'm €25 up this week. Will only be putting €3 on this one so if it doesn't happen its no biggie. €3 returns €30, worth a punt?

GerM · 22-04-2012 11:54am

Cardiff have a string of players making their last appearance in front of the home support. They'll want to put in a decent show. The likes of Martyn Williams and Gethin Jenkins will burst a lung today. Edinburgh have a completely second string side out. Not one player who started against Toulouse is on the field. They've only won once away from home in the league this season. They lost in Aironi and shipped 25 points there. They've had serious scores run up against them on the road: 54, 38, 34, 33. Wouldn't go near them.

Official Free Money Betting Superthread 2011/12

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